Sushovan Majhi Assistant Professor, Data Science George Washington University, Washington D.C., USA
Today’s Talk
Background on the Indian Monsoon
Topology of a time series
Takens’s Embedding Theorem
Sliding Window
Predicting the onset and withdrawal
Future work
The Indian Monsoon
Rain in India
The climate of India predominately depends on rainfall
Average: 899 mm with variation \pm 20\%
Monsoon is the typical rainy season
Onset: May-July
Withdrawal: Sep-Oct
What is the Monsoon?
Average rainfall across India
The Monsoon System
Definition according to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)
The seasonal reversal of the direction of winds along the shores of the Indian Ocean, especially in the Arabian Sea, which blow from the southwest for half of the year and from the northeast for the other half.
Only partly understood
The most anticipated weather phenomenon
The biggest financial bet
Notoriously difficult to predict
Affecting the Indian flora and fauna, economy, and agriculture